How to use this calculator
- Enter or choose mean (μ).
- Enter or choose standard deviation (σ).
- Enter or choose probability of.
- The probability updates as you type. Use Copy result or Share to keep it.
Method
z = (x − μ) ÷ σ; P(X ≤ x) = Φ(z) = ½·erfc(−z ÷ √2); P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = Φ(z_b) − Φ(z_a)
- μ, σ
- mean and standard deviation
- Φ
- standard normal cumulative distribution function
- erfc
- complementary error function, computed to near machine precision (also far into the tails)
Worked example
- z for 85 = (85 − 100) ÷ 15 = −1; z for 115 = +1.
- Φ(1) = 0.841345 and Φ(−1) = 0.158655.
- P(85 ≤ X ≤ 115) = 0.841345 − 0.158655 = 0.682689.
For scores with mean 100 and standard deviation 15, 68.27% fall between 85 and 115.
What the result means
For a continuous distribution, “below” and “at or below” are the same: the probability of hitting a value exactly is zero. The answer is only as good as the normal model, so check a histogram first if the data could be skewed or have heavy tails.
Assumptions and limits
- The quantity follows a normal distribution with the mean and standard deviation entered.
- Bounded or skewed data (times, incomes, counts near zero) are often poorly described by a normal curve, especially in the tails.
Questions
How is this different from the z-score calculator?
The z-score calculator works from one value and symmetric bands around the mean. This one handles any interval between two values and either tail.
Why does the empirical rule say 68%?
Because the area between z = −1 and z = 1 is 0.6827. Between ±2 it is 0.9545, and between ±3 it is 0.9973.