How to use this calculator
- Enter or choose current age.
- Enter or choose retirement age.
- Enter or choose plan for income until age.
- Enter or choose current retirement savings.
- Enter or choose amount you save each year.
- The shortfall at retirement (negative = surplus) updates as you type. Use Copy result or Share to keep it.
Method
Savings at retirement = S(1+g)^n + C((1+g)^n − 1)/g; W₁ = (Income − Other) × (1+f)^n; Needed = W₁ × (1 − q^m)/(1 − q), q = (1+f)/(1+h); Extra = Shortfall × g/((1+g)^n − 1)
- S
- current savings
- C
- yearly saving (end of each year)
- g
- return before retirement
- h
- return in retirement
- f
- inflation
- n
- years to retirement
- m
- years of retirement income
- W₁
- first withdrawal, taken at the start of each retirement year
Worked example
- Growth over 30 years: 50,000 × 1.06^30 = 287,174.56; 10,000 a year grows to 10,000 × (1.06^30 − 1)/0.06 = 790,581.86; total $1,077,756.42.
- The 30,000 a year you need from savings becomes 30,000 × 1.025^30 = $62,927.03 in the first year of retirement.
- Funding 25 inflation-linked withdrawals at a 4% return needs $1,328,752.83, leaving a shortfall of $250,996.40.
- Closing it needs 250,996.40 × 0.06 ÷ (1.06^30 − 1) = $3,174.83 more saving a year.
On this plan savings reach about $1.08 million but $1.33 million is needed, so the money runs out at about age 84 unless you save $3,174.83 more a year.
What the result means
A shortfall means the plan does not fund the income until the age you chose. Close it by saving more, retiring later, spending less or planning on other income. Try a lower return as well: the result is very sensitive to it.
Assumptions and limits
- Returns and inflation are constant every year.
- Savings are added at the end of each year before retirement; withdrawals are taken at the start of each year in retirement.
- Income figures are before tax; taxes on withdrawals are not modelled.
- Real returns vary from year to year, and a bad sequence early in retirement can deplete savings sooner than an average suggests.
- Pension and social security amounts are your own estimates; no benefit rules are built in.
Questions
What return should I assume?
Use a cautious long-run figure for your actual mix of investments, net of fees. Lower returns during retirement reflect a more conservative portfolio.
Why plan to age 90 or beyond?
Many people live well into their 90s. Planning for a long life reduces the risk of running out of money.
Please note: Returns are illustrations at a constant rate, not predictions or guarantees. Investments can lose value. This is not investment advice.